With 2018 finally here it’s time for Hollywood to pat itself on the back yet again. Awards season begins Sunday night with the Golden Globes.

With the #MeToo movement firmly in place, the Globes will have to tackle the rampant sexual harassment and rape allegations that have come to light during the latter part of 2017. Seth Meyers serves as host, so we’ll have an opportunity to hear what he has to say. Jointly, we’ll see how the acting community unites in the face of such controversy (actresses AND actors have agreed to wear black). The issue is unavoidable, so it has to be faced head on in order for things to improve.

Hollywood has a lot riding on this as this year’s awards season is not just about accolades.

Best Supporting Actor

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name

Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Plummer’s inclusion is an indicator that replacing disgraced Kevin Spacey garnered a lot of attention. His scenes were shot in a mere 9 days and, after seeing his performance, he’s deserving of nomination – maybe even a win. But he’s facing tough competition from Rockwell and Jenkins. You cannot go wrong with any of the three (sorry, Hammer and Jenkins, it’s not in the cards for either of you), but I think Dafoe, with a career-best performance in The Florida Project should take it.

Who I Like: Christopher Plummer

Who I Think: Willem Dafoe

Best Supporting Actress

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound

Hong Chau, Downsizing

Allison Janney, I, Tonya

Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

This is a two-person race between Metcalf and Janney. It’s interesting to note the pair made their mark in television and have, over time, are doing the same on the big screen. The theme of mother-daughter relationships is common, as Metcalf plays a tough but loving mother to a very difficult daughter in Saoirse Ronan, while Janney is a detestable mom to a very difficult daughter in Tonya Harding (played by Margot Robbie). Janney has the flashier role while Metcalf has the more emotional one. I changed my mind last minute here – I think the Hollywood Foreign Press will go for Janney.

Who I Like: Laurie Metcalf

Who I Think: Allison Janney

Best Actor in a Drama

Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name

Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

Tom Hanks, The Post

Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

We have four accomplished veterans and one newcomer this year. The newcomer is Chalamet – he has an outside shot because Call Me By Your Name has been getting a lot of attention. No one heard of Chalamet this time last year, so a win here could be a passing of the torch. It’s difficult to not vote for Hanks – who doesn’t love the guy? Besides a vote for him is a vote for free press since The Post is about adversarial journalism. Denzel is the only thing worth talking about in Roman J. Israel, Esq., so Denzel’s nomination is his reward. Daniel Day-Lewis and his performance in Phantom Thread is his final role since he’s retiring, but there hasn’t been much talk that he’ll win.

Gary Oldman is almost a lock – he embodies Winston Churchill and besides, Oldman is due. But he’s dogged the HFPA in the past – hopefully that won’t haunt his present.

Who I Like: Gary Oldman

Who I Think: Gary Oldman

Best Actress in a Drama

Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Meryl Streep, The Post

Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World

Tough category all-around – I don’t think one can go wrong if any of these actresses win. The longshot is Chastain – she’s strong in every role, but the response to Molly’s Game has been lukewarm. Williams is amazing but her performance may be deemed too subtle within a film that’s essentially good, but not great. McDormand is my favorite because her grieving spitfire mother is the most nuanced role of the bunch. I forgot about Streep’s soapbox speech last year – the Hollywood Foreign Press may pick her just to so we can see what she has to say this year. I’m in love with Sally Hawkins and her performance, though. Playing a mute is difficult, yet she used body language and sheer charisma to sell everything about The Shape of Water.

Who I Like: Frances McDormand, Meryl Streep

Who I Think: Sally Hawkins

Best Actor in a Comedy or Musical

Steve Carrell, Battle of the Sexes

Ansel Elgort, Baby Driver

James Franco, The Disaster Artist

Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman

Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

I’ve seen four of the five performances, and the only one that makes sense is Franco. As Tommy Wiseau, it takes a lot to convincingly play such a weird and mysterious guy. Wiseau is one of Hollywood’s weirdest, and Franco, no stranger to weird stuff himself, is exemplary.

Who I Like: James Franco

Who I Think: James Franco

Best Actress in a Comedy or Musical

Best Actress in a Comedy or Musical

Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul

Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seekers

Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

Saorise Ronan, Lady Bird

Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes

I just saw I, Tonya, and because of Margot Robbie’s turn as the banned figure skater, she’s a frontrunner. Ronan will be the biggest obstacle and the odds-on favorite this year. It’s almost a toss-up – one may want to reward Robbie for not just her performance but the work she put in to look like a competitive figure skater; or Ronan may be rewarded for convincingly conveying the difficulties of being a teenager. My vote goes to Ronan, mainly because I can relate to being a teenager.

Who I Like: Saoirse Ronan

Who I Think: Saoirse Ronan

Best Director

Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World

Steven Spielberg, The Post

Nolan is a personal favorite because Dunkirk is a moviemaking marvel – but the English director has gotten no love from the Golden Globes or the Oscars. McDonagh could be an underdog, but I’m not sure Three Billboards’ tone will resonate. I think Scott got a pass for successfully replacing an actor mere weeks before his film’s wide release. And Spielberg is Spielberg, I just don’t know enough about The Post to pick him. The Hollywood Foreign Press loves del Toro, and The Shape of Water is type of film that voters love to gush over.

Who I Like: Christopher Nolan

Who I Think: Guillermo del Toro

Best Picture, Drama

Call Me By Your Name


The Post

Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri

The Shape of Water

One really can’t wrong with rewarding any of these films. But since it’s not a participation award there are likely three frontrunners – Name, Three Billboards and Water. If I’m correct and the HFPA gives in to their love of all things del Toro, The Shape of Water should take it. But Three Billboards has a strong case, with its multiple layers, as does Name

Who I Like: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Who I Think: The Shape of Water

Best Picture, Comedy or Musical

Get Out

I, Tonya

Lady Bird

The Disaster Artist

The Greatest Showman

Just like The Martian two years ago, Get Out is controversially stuck in the wrong category. I’m still scratching my head over Get Out’s inclusion - it’s not a comedy or musical – it’s a biting commentary on racism within a horror setting. Jordan Peele’s fantastic feature deserves more praise than the HFPA is giving it – heck, he wasn’t even nominated for Best Director. Those factors are enough for me to root for it to win, but Lady Bird is another film getting a bit of the shaft (no Best Director nod for Greta Gerwig… really?). If the HFPA is paying attention to the recent social climate, Lady Bird will win, although it’s very deserving.

Who I Like: Get Out

Who I Think: Lady Bird

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